← Replay feed
REPLAYroom_100003
Jul 27, 2026, 05:01:04 PM → Jul 27, 2026, 05:43:44 PM · 40m 54s captured · 447 events
◇ BRONZEBronze stitched view — 1 fragment concat'd at read time(canonical not produced yet)
Per-fragment HLS playlists concatenated at request time with
#EXT-X-DISCONTINUITYseams; events come from live_eventswith their original per-fragment capture_tsmapped onto the concat clock. Useful for low-latency / in-flight shows; the canonical view is the truthful record once a show ends.Speed:space play/pause · j/l ±5s · [ ] ±60s
0:0040:54
447 of 447
0:00+9.3s"This is technically the pre"
0:02+8.9s"the pre power hour session here."
0:04+12s"Now normally, we're looking for small caps to move, but"
0:09+7.2s"you know,"
0:10+10s"I'm just not"
0:13+10s"I don't really like the small cap action today."
0:16+8.8s"There's"
0:18+9.4s"you know, one, two, three,"
0:21+8.6s"four,"
0:23+13s"five, maybe five different stocks kinda moving and"
0:29+8.6s"they're not really doing anything."
0:31+10s"So"
0:35+8.8s"know, at this point of the day,"
0:37+8.6s"we have"
0:39+12s"large caps down. The market is down a little bit more than what it"
0:44+9.1s"was earlier when we were streaming."
0:46+9.8s"We were down about a quarter of percent, and now we're down about point three."
0:50+9.2s"And"
0:52+8.9s"we're at a point where"
0:54+11s"the market kinda has to make a choice about what it's gonna do."
0:59+11s"Meaning, can it start lifting back up"
1:03+9.9s"or is it gonna kind of"
1:06+9.3s"is the selling gonna accelerate back down?"
1:10+9.2s"Meaning downward?"
1:13+9.2s"And maybe the day will close"
1:15+12s"you know, half a percent down or 1% down even. I don't really know of"
1:19+10s"course, we don't know. It's a guessing game. But"
1:23+10.0s"you know, I'm kind of watching"
1:26+11s"the levels on MU and NVIDIA at the moment."
1:30+12s"As well as the SPY You can see that there on the"
1:36+8.7s"right hand bottom corner screen."
1:39+11s"It's by making a new low asm"
1:42+8.7s"talking right now."
1:44+10s"That's hurting kind of everything else on the screen as well. So"
1:48+9.2s"we're gonna kinda watch this"
1:50+9.3s"price action for a little bit and"
1:53+9.9s"we're gonna try not to, you know, get smoked on"
1:56+8.3s"a silly small cap"
1:58+8.4s"that's just being choppy."
2:00+11s"And if you wanna trade a small cap right now, go ahead. But"
2:04+9.3s"I wouldn't be doing it."
2:07+10s"It's kind of hands off for me, you know, for small caps until tomorrow."
2:11+8.2s"In my view."
2:15+11s"Yeah. We have some big earnings coming up this week."
2:20+7.5s"So"
2:21+8.5s"know, there's a little bit of fear in the market"
2:23+8.4s"I think"
2:27+8.4s"it's probably why"
2:30+9.1s"over the weekend,"
2:32+11s"you suddenly had the administration say, oh,"
2:36+11s"we're gonna go back to negotiation phase with Iran."
2:40+8.0s"Well,"
2:41+9.9s"it was just getting worse actually, like, at the end of the week."
2:45+10s"So the question is what changed?"
2:48+11s"Well, what changed is the administration gets a brief."
2:53+9.3s"About what's happening, what's gonna happen,"
2:55+8.5s"and, well,"
2:57+9.7s"it'd be better if the market wasn't"
3:00+13s"going down on Iran news because it's already gonna get pressured"
3:06+8.9s"due to this week with earnings."
3:08+12s"It'll take double pressure, basically. So"
3:11+8.4s"some pressure has come off with Iran."
3:14+9.1s"And now we have other pressure with"
3:17+8.0s"earnings."
3:18+11s"A little bit too much pressure in my view overall."
3:25+11s"No."
3:29+8.7s"No. We're just watching right now."
3:52+11s"Well, my long term follows the spy."
3:56+8.4s"So"
3:59+11s"I I don't really look at it day to day, but it's down"
4:03+10s"probably a little bit less than what the spy is right now."
4:09+12s"But, you know,"
4:14+9.7s"it's still up more than 7% on the year."
4:38+11s"Kind of what I'm looking for"
4:42+11s"on in in large caps right now is some confirmation that the market might bounce"
4:50+11s"Since we just made a new low,"
4:54+7.6s"today,"
4:56+8.1s"you know, we"
4:57+9.3s"we would need to recover"
5:00+11s"you know, to $7.36 roughly."
5:04+8.7s"And then maybe"
5:06+9.5s"that's gonna give us a"
5:09+8.9s"near double bottom on NVIDIA."
5:09+10sNVDA (near double bottom on NVIDIA)
5:09+20s
5:11+9.5s"And a high or low on MU. Now"
5:11+11sMU (And a high or low on MU. Now)
5:11+17s
5:14+8.7s"if the bucket keeps going down,"
5:16+16s"then we would target basically the 200 EMA on Nvidia and we would target a break of $8.54 35 on n u. So"
5:25+8.4s"new lows, basically."
5:27+7.8s"For today."
5:35+11s"Now for those of you trading DFNS,"
5:35+12sDFNS (Now for those of you trading DFNS)
5:35+22s
5:39+10s"you know, one issue with this stock is it has very high"
5:43+9.1s"spread, big spread, big range,"
5:46+11s"And, you know, the stock has gone sideways all day."
5:50+15s"And only breaking out around or rather exactly at 12:00 12:12 ten in the afternoon."
5:58+9.4s"And then immediately after breaking out, it got choppy again."
6:02+11s"And so we know this pattern pretty well."
6:06+11s"Don't need to get chopped up on it."
6:26+11s"Yeah. It would it would need to start kind of doing something"
6:29+9.0s"and breaking out and going further and"
6:31+9.7s"getting kind of out of the consolidation zone that it's been in."
6:35+9.2s"And not, like, have these"
6:38+9.2s"handlebick patterns and"
6:40+11s"like, even right now as it's trading,"
6:44+8.4s"in the one minute,"
6:46+9.4s"so we have"
6:49+12s"we have this all day morning choppy action."
6:55+10s"Immediately after the rally, we had another choppy"
6:59+9.2s"session."
7:01+10s"And now another little breakout and it's choppy again. So"
7:04+8.6s"don't know guys. I mean, I'm just saying like"
7:06+9.6s"the stock is not very easy. So"
7:09+11s"in order for me to get more excited about it, it's gonna have to stop"
7:14+9.1s"going sideways."
7:16+11s"And just kind of do that. You know, something like what Stack was doing"
7:20+8.6s"on Friday."
7:23+9.3s"Start ascending faster"
7:43+12s"Well, m MU and and"
7:48+12s"is in the choppy choppy zone as well. Right? So we're"
7:52+8.3s"what we're waiting for is"
7:53+12s"is there gonna be some direction? So first, we have to start stalking it"
7:58+8.8s"and then maybe we get direction."
8:04+10s"I wouldn't be taking any trades in it right now."
8:13+9.7s"Again, this 1PM session is to set us up for later."
8:17+11s"To give us some ideas for later. So if the market actually starts declining faster,"
8:22+7.5s"then"
8:24+8.2s"these two setups could be in play."
8:26+11s"If the market's bouncing, then it's the same scenario. It"
8:29+8.8s"could be in play. So but right now, it's"
8:32+9.0s"it's sideways."
8:55+11s"Hey, Trevor. Well, I think it's the same reason they pop up in premarket."
8:59+11s"Somebody's starting to move. They hit the scanner."
9:04+9.5s"Other people jump on it. They see a pattern."
9:07+9.9s"And sometimes it holds, sometimes it doesn't."
9:10+8.0s"But"
9:11+12s"for anything without news, you have to imagine that somebody has"
9:15+8.7s"started to move and then"
9:17+8.0s"paused"
9:19+9.2s"it to pop up on the scanner, and then people see"
9:21+9.3s"the pattern"
9:24+8.4s"forming at that point."
9:29+12s"Yeah. No halts and, usually less"
9:34+9.7s"volume is required to"
9:37+9.0s"get the stock to move around."
9:39+9.5s"The halter are a big problem, you know."
9:58+11s"Yeah. It but it but it also, like,"
10:02+9.3s"on the opposite end, it's also easier to"
10:05+10s"to to tank a stock as well."
10:08+11s"And we had seen that earlier today with"
10:12+8.4s"PFSA."
10:12+9.6sPFSA (PFSA mentioned)
10:12+19s
10:15+10s"This one had news, but same type of scenario."
10:19+8.1s"It got hit hard."
10:20+14s"And GEMAX same thing same thing here."
10:20+16sGEMAX (And GEMAX same thing same thing here.)
10:20+26s
10:28+11s"Pop and like, right here, pop and then all almost all the way back down."
10:33+8.4s"And then j z x n."
10:35+11s"Same same type of thing here. Pop, like kind of a light volume pop."
10:40+11s"And then, you know, double the amount of red selling volume."
10:45+9.9s"And then almost all the way back up, you know,"
10:48+7.7s"nearly"
10:50+8.1s"the way back down. So"
10:51+11s"you know, those moves can work pretty nicely when"
10:56+7.8s"it's a hot market."
10:58+10s"But in the market like this, you have a big battle."
11:02+9.1s"Between, long traders and short traders."
11:05+11s"And none of these were easy to borrow. They were just, you know, they just"
11:09+12s"people were confident to short them. So"
11:31+11s"Yeah. So a halt a halt is, but not a volatility halt. So it it would be some"
11:36+8.8s"some other type of halt"
11:38+9.7s"news halt or suspension or"
11:41+9.8s"something like that."
11:44+9.9s"But the volatility halts don't exist."
11:47+9.6s"In the after hours."
13:42+9.3s"Yeah. Every everything that I'm reading about memory and RAM"
13:45+11s"leads me to believe, you know, those prices will be lower"
13:49+7.9s"those stocks will be lower."
13:51+8.2s"Into the end of the year."
13:52+10s"It just takes some time."
13:57+9.1s"But those moves,"
13:59+9.8s"those incredible moves are are over with now."
14:02+9.8s"You know how stocks work? Basically, the"
14:06+10s"the expectation"
14:09+11s"is some is greater than the reality."
14:13+9.0s"Everyone being very excited about"
14:15+9.3s"AI and RAM and"
14:18+10s"and how much usage they're gonna use and"
14:21+9.6s"but in reality, the the companies"
14:24+9.6s"they're they're pulling back on spending."
14:27+8.7s"You know?"
14:29+12s"They're realizing that they cut employees and they need those people back."
14:33+9.3s"Because AI is not doing enough. And so"
14:35+8.3s"it's it's gonna catch up."
14:37+11s"It's gonna catch up. So"
15:05+9.7s"Right now, I'm kinda looking for any kind of sign"
15:09+9.1s"a press release or something like that that's gonna"
15:11+8.4s"lift the market a little bit"
15:14+9.2s"It may not happen on our stream,"
16:17+11s"Alright. So we are down ticking a little bit here on SPY."
16:21+9.5s"You can see that syncing the video a little bit."
16:24+8.8s"Off $1.95 92."
16:26+12s"MU, you know, trying to break our sending support."
16:26+13sMU (MU, you know, trying to break our sending support)
16:26+17s
16:43+9.9s"We just had a little bit more direction in the market right now."
16:47+9.0s"We would be looking for lows."
16:49+8.0s"On MU."
16:49+9.2sMU (On MU.)
16:49+18s
16:50+8.3s"Just don't know"
16:52+7.7s"we're gonna get that."
17:09+11s"Yeah. If you're trading DFNS, there is a level at"
17:14+11s"what is it, ten thirty nine that needs to hold?"
18:07+11s"So on the spy, let me go to the spy on the right side of the screen here."
18:11+14s"Now, I have this level seven fifty three fifty three and they're like, well, well, John, where is this from?"
18:19+11s"Well, it's gonna be this high volume candle"
18:23+8.9s"right there."
18:25+10s"So right"
18:29+9.6s"right there."
18:32+8.9s"And that's the highest volume candle low."
18:35+8.2s"And so"
18:36+11s"that it's a tough spot."
18:41+8.2s"Right? So"
18:42+10s"technically, you would think the spy would"
18:45+11s"kind of find support there, but"
18:49+8.3s"if it does not,"
18:52+9.1s"then everything"
18:55+9.1s"could go a lot lower."
18:57+10.0s"Let me put that level on the little chart here."
19:00+11s"$7.35 53."
20:23+12s"No. You know what? The d f n s is gonna be very choppy. So"
20:28+8.8s"it it may go down a little bit, but"
20:32+8.2s"overall, the"
20:33+8.5s"know, technically, the trend today is"
20:35+11s"is positive, but"
20:39+9.1s"doesn't mean it's gonna be easy to trade."
20:41+7.9s"So"
20:42+11s"in order for d d f n s to kind of be out of play,"
20:46+9.8s"I would imagine it would need to be probably put back below"
20:50+8.1s"$7.75."
20:55+9.0s"Yeah."
20:57+12s"8 sorry. $8.78 75. Yeah."
21:02+9.9s"That was the prior high from a couple days ago."
22:24+11s"Well, it has a"
22:27+12s"of volume, so it's, like, almost, $370,000,000 traded"
22:31+11s"on DFNS Normally, would say that the company is cooking it up and offering"
22:37+14s"but I don't really see an active s three This action would be indicative of"
22:43+9.5s"the company trying to sell throughout the day in my view, but"
22:47+9.2s"if they legally can't sell, then"
22:49+11s"I don't I don't really know. You know, it's just a bad spread causing this"
22:53+9.5s"people buying and then bailing out on the market."
22:56+10s"Rebuying it again and bailing out,"
22:56+11s(Rebuying it again and bailing out)
22:56+17s
23:00+9.0s"So"
23:02+12s"I I don't really know why the spread's not better than what it is given how much volume it has."
23:07+8.5s"So"
23:09+10s"usually, means that the market makers are just"
23:12+12s"making a lot of profit right now off the backs of investors, traders,"
23:20+9.8s"Like, ten twelve by ten twenty eight,"
23:23+8.0s"'s no reason"
23:24+7.6s"it to be like that."
24:02+11s"Just give me a second. I'm gonna take a screenshot of"
24:07+8.2s"something on my other screen."
24:17+11s"I mean, I I really don't know Ryan. I mean,"
24:22+12s"I guess the short sellers are down on it, but it doesn't"
24:26+8.6s"squeeze either."
25:59+11s"Yeah. They did."
26:03+11s"It's not just consolidation. I think when when people think consolidation, they think"
26:07+9.3s"it's safe."
26:10+11s"Consolidation is not safe, really."
26:15+11s"I think I do prefer the word compression"
26:19+12s"which historically"
26:23+8.6s"is not a word that I used."
26:26+11s"But since probably since COVID,"
26:30+8.8s"consolidation's more"
26:32+10s"like, compression where you're getting"
26:36+8.7s"kind of a a reversal."
26:38+11s"I think, like, in the past, consolidation"
26:43+9.1s"would generally be a positive"
26:46+9.2s"thing, and you would get a positive outcome."
26:48+9.5s"I I I'm pretty sure that's how it was"
26:51+7.5s"because"
26:52+12s"yeah, I'm pretty sure. And but now after COVID,"
26:57+8.8s"compression is more"
26:59+9.9s"an inverse pattern."
27:02+12s"Consolidation is more inverse. And so"
27:05+9.4s"as long as you know that it's compressing, consolidating,"
27:09+11s"and it could and and also you had a prior rally"
27:13+9.9s"or prior drop, the the inverse could happen."
27:16+12s"And so that kind of pattern, maybe it's algos, who knows,"
27:21+7.5s"did change"
27:23+8.2s"since COVID."
27:24+8.8s"And I would say it's a"
27:26+8.6s"a relatively new pattern"
27:28+9.5s"over the last few years in small caps."
27:31+11s"And so I like to draw it because"
27:35+11s"it helps me and other people to kind of avoid getting too aggressive"
27:40+11s"after a big rally or surprising rally."
27:44+9.9s"Like, how long did this stock take to break out in the morning"
27:47+9.3s"and then it just went sideways again?"
27:50+11s"And it's doing doing it again. But"
27:55+10s"the big theme is the big picture is it is higher than where it was,"
27:58+8.7s"Right? So"
28:01+10s"it requires a different type of trade"
28:05+8.2s"not necessarily a breakout"
28:07+8.1s"trade, but maybe"
28:08+9.3s"buying somebody's flush, you know,"
28:11+11s"where they stop out as long as the pattern is still ascending."
28:15+9.7s"It's just a little bit different."
28:30+11s"Yeah. You do have to be a little bit more patient"
28:35+8.1s"is set up here."
29:22+12s"Something else that we can talk about from earlier"
29:27+9.0s"is f"
29:30+11s"f I I e e, this one."
29:34+10s"So this one kinda popped up on, like, volume"
29:38+9.1s"earlier, very live volume."
29:40+7.7s"Actually,"
29:41+8.4s"2,000 shares."
29:43+9.5s"17,000 shares,"
29:46+8.8s"31,000 shares,"
29:48+10s"and then getting stuck basically out of the halt."
29:53+10s"But"
29:56+10s"you know, we had well, I had"
29:59+9.6s"this level eight twenty seven. Now,"
30:02+13s"eight twenty seven at the time, or still does,"
30:09+9.0s"represents"
30:11+9.0s"286,000,000 shares."
30:13+9.4s"At that level. And this is"
30:16+9.4s"a picture of the of the yearly chart"
30:19+9.0s"So every candle represents one year."
30:22+11s"And you can see here eight twenty seven, big high volume candle,"
30:26+9.8s"and then you have 14."
30:29+11s"And so although this went a little bit higher,"
30:33+9.3s"because of the halt,"
30:36+9.9s"Actually, it came right back down to that level"
30:42+8.9s"almost almost to the penny,"
30:44+12s"and then got stuck there, you know,"
30:47+10s"basically sideways chop. Right? A compression pattern."
30:52+10s"And kind of ultimately rejected our level"
30:55+9.3s"The tricky thing with halts is"
30:58+8.9s"stock can go a little bit further than"
31:00+12s"than you think. But if you're confident about the level,"
31:05+11s"you know, like, it should it should work in theory."
31:10+9.1s"Went up, like, 25% higher than the level"
31:12+10s"but it it did immediately come back down."
31:17+8.1s"Out of"
31:18+9.1s"confirming that"
31:21+9.2s"at the time that I was right. Because"
31:23+8.8s"when I posted that, I was wrong for"
31:26+8.2s"the duration of the halt."
31:27+9.5s"Upon the resumption, I was right. So"
31:30+7.4s"just"
31:32+11s"low volume into a very big high volume move"
31:38+9.7s"feel usually pretty confident with those level levels."
31:41+10s"Yeah. KIDZ was a big mover in premarket"
31:41+12sKIDZ (KIDZ was a big mover in premarket)
31:41+46s
31:45+9.8s"Not a big mover. It was a mover when basically"
31:48+8.0s"and made a new high."
31:50+9.3s"A curl pattern here, which normally I like, but"
31:52+9.7s"it didn't really care about the penny stock and pre market."
31:55+8.8s"But"
31:57+9.4s"you know, it's really not in play."
32:00+10s"Like, again, there's too there's too many things."
32:04+8.2s"Moving right now."
32:05+7.9s"So"
32:06+10s"if I were to put k I d z on the watch list here,"
32:06+11sKIDZ (if I were to put k i d z on the watch list here)
32:06+22s
32:09+10s"now you have k I d z, you have"
32:09+11sKIDZ (now you have k i d z, you have)
32:09+19s
32:13+10s"ENTX, BIYA, DFNS, all kind of"
32:17+9.2s"moving and stealing the volume from each other."
32:20+9.2s"Causing each move to not work."
32:25+9.6s"Hey, Michael."
32:29+10s"When did you lose 680% on stack?"
33:24+10s"Alright. We are lifting off a little bit here on the spy"
33:27+10s"I I don't know if I wanna make a judgment call, like,"
33:31+12s"don't know if I wanna make that judgment call to say that we're gonna bounce"
33:35+7.9s"today. I I really don't"
33:36+9.4s"know at this time, but"
33:39+8.1s"it is bouncing right now."
33:42+11s"You can see the video stopped going down as well on the right here."
33:50+11s"So if you wanna play this type of pattern on MU and SPY,"
33:55+8.5s"the video today."
33:57+9.0s"You basically need"
33:59+14s"the spy to hold seven fifty three fifty three Otherwise, both of these are gonna come down."
34:07+9.7s"So it's kinda one of those things where we don't know we don't really"
34:11+9.1s"so slow, we don't know yet."
34:13+12s"We don't have that fax act fast action to kinda confirm for us like we did earlier today."
34:18+11s"You know, the bounce on MU was good because it was fast. It was happening quickly."
34:22+12s"To drop and then hitting our support level. But right now, we're kind of in this"
34:27+12s"very slow motion pattern"
34:32+10s"And any little kind of headline that comes out"
34:35+9.6s"can affect this pattern."
34:38+8.7s"I wouldn't dare say"
34:41+11s"oh, this is the bottom. We're gonna go up. I would never because you know"
34:44+11s"don't know what kind of headlines that would come out to tank that thesis."
34:48+9.4s"Or, you know, vice versa. So"
34:52+11s"kinda hang tight. I wish we had a little bit better of an idea here, but we don't."
34:56+11s"And that's the reality with large caps sometimes. Sometimes you just can't do much."
35:00+8.4s"They don't do anything."
35:02+12s"But I'm always gonna be looking for a trade when it's slow"
35:07+9.0s"in small caps on large caps. So"
35:10+10s"I do kinda work hard finding that type of trade."
35:20+11s"CRM, kind of"
35:24+8.0s"continuing here."
38:49+12s"So, you know, the next level that I have would be eleven sixty four."
38:54+9.5s"Now there is no"
38:58+10s"real level that I have in between"
39:01+9.8s"let's say, eleven sixty four and"
39:05+9.1s"15. So"
39:07+8.8s"you could do is you could use the top of that"
39:09+7.3s"channel"
39:11+9.2s"for later, twelve sixty five."
39:13+9.7s"The the thirty minute shows kind of"
39:17+11s"high volume green candle. So"
39:20+9.6s"know, the last thirty minutes or so definitely has been"
39:24+7.3s"up."
39:25+10s"Right, since that original breakout of eight seventy five."
39:29+11s"But I don't know. It's a it's a very tough one."
39:42+12s"I would just put it on the back burner and see if it performs better later."
39:47+8.9s"Later today."
39:49+9.4s"Maybe when the halt bands open up a little bit."
39:55+11s"But we're gonna probably head out here now at 01:41."
40:00+11s"We'll check-in around 03:00. It's too bad we didn't get any kind of direction on large caps, but"
40:05+9.3s"not really unexpected."
40:07+12s"The the big moves on large caps tend to happen at the market open and near the"
40:12+8.1s"market close."
40:13+10.0s"The afternoon is kind of a good time for you to"
40:16+9.8s"do the levels and come up with a game plan."
40:19+12s"I would normally be surprised to see large caps"
40:23+9.8s"dropping or going up in the middle of the day"
40:28+11s"this doesn't really happen. So unless they've been trending all day long,"
40:33+11s"So kind of just more of, like, a conversation today, not"
40:37+7.8s"too exciting, but"
40:42+9.1s"yeah, I would kind of agree with their Ryan."
40:44+8.8s"So"
40:47+9.1s"don't dig yourself a hole here."